From 1:00 pm on the 29th until 10 pm on September 30th, our last data point, C2 has not flown. The data shows a drift pattern first to the south and then to the northwest. It does not look good. He is either gone, floating on the surface with his back and thus with the transmitter to the sky –- that would be the really bad news or he has landed on a raft of floating vegetation and getting some much needed rest before he makes the short flight to the mainland. In any event, he has been adrift for 33 hours.
We know from our research with other satellite tagged Ospreys that the most dangerous part of their migration is the trans Caribbean Crossing. Each year dozens of Ospreys do not successfully make this crossing. There were no distinctive storms or weather patterns that could have hindered his crossing. It looks like he simply ran out of gas before reaching the filling station.
I have not given up on him yet. Many land birds rest on floating vegetation or on ships during long overwater crossings during migration. So I am hoping that he is just resting and that the next data download will show him back in action.
Sorry for the bad news.
C2 and Dr. Bob signing off – for the moment.
Bulls eyes = Osprey’s location every hour.
Lines = Sequence of locations in time (not the actual flight path)
Times in the data points are Greenwich Mean Time (GMT).
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